Fed Takes Break from Hikes

From RISMedia

The Federal Reserve Board yesterday left short-term interest rates unchanged at 5.25 percent.

The Fed says the lull after 17 consecutive increases was because of the softening housing market, high energy prices, and previous rates increases.

Home buyers "who are looking at longer-term fixed-rate products are going to get a pretty good deal," says Doug Duncan, chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association. Duncan believes rates on fixed-rate mortgages aren't likely to move much higher unless the Fed decides to boost rates again to stem inflationary pressures.

Yesterday, rates stood at 6.66 percent, nearly one-third of a percentage point below their recent peak of nearly 7 percent, according to financial publisher HSH Associates.

The pause also will slow the pace at which rate increases are being passed on to borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages, though some borrowers could see their rates continue to rise if their payments are tied to an index such as the 12-month Moving Treasury Average, which reflects rate moves on a lagging basis.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, Jeff D. Opdyke, Jennifer Saranow and Ruth Simon (08/09/2006)

PENDING HOME SALES INDICATE TRANSITIONING MARKET

From CAR Newsline - Wednesday, August 02, 2006

For the second consecutive month, pending home sales have risen on a month-to-month basis, a sign the housing market is beginning to level out, according to a recent report from NAR. In June, the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), which gauges home sales activity for upcoming months based on the number of transactions that have signed contracts but are not yet closed, increased 0.4 percent to 113.9 from the reading one month earlier and edged down 9.6 percent from June 2005. An index of 100 or more generally indicates a high level of home sales activity.

"Once again, we have various housing indicators moving in different directions, which itself is an indicator of a market in transition," said NAR Chief Economist David Lereah. "The housing market is striving for balance -- a process that will take several months. A quieting in the movement of indicators should restore confidence to home buyers who've been on the sidelines, waiting for the right time to get into the market, and now is the best time we've seen since the 1990s in terms of housing choices and flexible terms."

The PHSI declined across the nation in June compared with the readings a year ago. On a regional basis, the PHSI was highest in the South, where it edged down 4.8 percent to 130.7. In the West, the index fell 14.2 percent to 110.1. The PHSI also declined in the Midwest and Northeast regions, falling to 103.3 and 99.4, respectively.