As with most polarized headlines and reports, one should always read with caution. However, we are seeing the media trend changing course from mostly negative real estate news to more positive news. This is one of those positive reports...
Click here for the Dow Jones MarketWatch article
21 October 2006
16 October 2006
Real Estate Bust or Correction?
Here's another article suggesting a correction rather than bust in the real estate market. The media at large generally takes on the extreme opinion but appears to be taking a more realistic/moderate approach these days. In summary:
"Lower asking and selling prices on houses are integral parts of the self-correction and should help shorten the whole process. Lower interest rates should make those lower prices affordable to a broader number of potential buyers. That could become an even more important factor if mortgage rates dip below 6 percent in the coming months, as some Wall Street capital market analysts expect. "
Here's the article from the San Francisco Chronicle
"Lower asking and selling prices on houses are integral parts of the self-correction and should help shorten the whole process. Lower interest rates should make those lower prices affordable to a broader number of potential buyers. That could become an even more important factor if mortgage rates dip below 6 percent in the coming months, as some Wall Street capital market analysts expect. "
Here's the article from the San Francisco Chronicle
13 October 2006
Home Prices Correcting, Buyers Returning to the Market
Home sales appear to be bottoming out with lower prices attracting buyers in many areas of the country, says NAR.
RISMEDIA, October 13, 2006—David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, said the housing market is showing signs of life and that sales may be leveling out. “Many potential home buyers who have been taking a wait-and-see attitude or taking their time and being methodical in the search process are being enticed by lower home prices,” Lereah said. “Given a positive economic backdrop of lower interest rates and job creation, we expect sales activity to pick up early next year.”
Read the complete article here
RISMEDIA, October 13, 2006—David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, said the housing market is showing signs of life and that sales may be leveling out. “Many potential home buyers who have been taking a wait-and-see attitude or taking their time and being methodical in the search process are being enticed by lower home prices,” Lereah said. “Given a positive economic backdrop of lower interest rates and job creation, we expect sales activity to pick up early next year.”
Read the complete article here
11 October 2006
U.S. Economy Will Grow Slowly and Not Sink into Recession, Conference Board Reports
Reported downturn is modest, but economic cycle is mature, says chief economist
Click here for the article
Click here for the article
05 October 2006
PENDING HOME SALES INDICATE STEADY MARKET IN COMING MONTHS
The housing market will continue to stabilize in the months ahead, according to NAR's most recent Pending Homes Sales Index (PHSI). In August, the PHSI stood at 110.1, up 4.3 percent from the previous month and down 14.1 percent from August 2005. The index gauges home sales activity for upcoming months based on the number of transactions that have signed contracts but are not yet closed. A PHSI of 100 or more generally indicates a high level of homes sales activity.
"Our sense is that home sales may have reached a low in August -- the Pending Home Sales Index shows home sales should be fairly stable over the next two months, although a minor decline is possible," said NAR Chief Economist David Lereah. "With fewer new listings coming on the market, we should be able to draw down the inventory supply early next year to the point where home prices will rise, but at a slower pace than historic norms."
The PHSI declined across the nation in August compared with the readings a year ago. On a regional basis, the PHSI was highest in the South, where it declined 9.4 percent to 126.8. In the West, the index fell 16.9 percent to 112.7. The PHSI also declined in the Northeast and Midwest regions, falling to 95.4 and 93.8, respectively.
"Our sense is that home sales may have reached a low in August -- the Pending Home Sales Index shows home sales should be fairly stable over the next two months, although a minor decline is possible," said NAR Chief Economist David Lereah. "With fewer new listings coming on the market, we should be able to draw down the inventory supply early next year to the point where home prices will rise, but at a slower pace than historic norms."
The PHSI declined across the nation in August compared with the readings a year ago. On a regional basis, the PHSI was highest in the South, where it declined 9.4 percent to 126.8. In the West, the index fell 16.9 percent to 112.7. The PHSI also declined in the Northeast and Midwest regions, falling to 95.4 and 93.8, respectively.
02 October 2006
2006 home sales projected as third highest ever
Existing home sales fell last month but not as quickly as economists and analysts expected. True, home sales have declined in 10 of the last 12 months however they remain quite strong with this year projected to land somewhere near the third highest on record. For August, existing home sales fell 0.5% to an annualized pace of 6.30 million.
New home sales rebounded in August gaining 4.1% to an annual rate of 1.050 million, in line with estimates. The bounce was related to sharp downward revisions in the previous three months making August sales tallies seem stronger. New home sales peaked in July of last year and have been trending lower since. Over the past year new home sales have declined 17.4%.
Mortgage rates fell again this week as rate cut expectations increased on incoming economic data. 30-year fixed rate mortgages averaged 6.31% this week compared to 6.40% last week according to Freddie Mac’s mortgage market survey. Economists at Freddie Mac note that lower mortgage rates and moderate house price declines should lead to greater housing affordability.
New home sales rebounded in August gaining 4.1% to an annual rate of 1.050 million, in line with estimates. The bounce was related to sharp downward revisions in the previous three months making August sales tallies seem stronger. New home sales peaked in July of last year and have been trending lower since. Over the past year new home sales have declined 17.4%.
Mortgage rates fell again this week as rate cut expectations increased on incoming economic data. 30-year fixed rate mortgages averaged 6.31% this week compared to 6.40% last week according to Freddie Mac’s mortgage market survey. Economists at Freddie Mac note that lower mortgage rates and moderate house price declines should lead to greater housing affordability.
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